Michael Rynn
Nov 14, 2024

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Average rate of warming per decade makes for easy mental arithmetic. Accelaration by tipping points suggest it is still rising, so for future projections I use 0.4 C. I also derive roughly that from a linear regression on past ~11years on gisstemp-v4. Global diesel fuel supply looks likely to decline permanently from about now, and industrial systems will collapse quickly wellbefore 2050, regardless of climate, without a full green transition , which is a kind of marketing canpaign to cover the end of overconsuming developed nations. This is so Good as only industrial collapse below net-zero can mitigate a runaway heating, even as all want to prevent economic collapse. Population collapse likely to be at least below 5% from current gross overshoot, if humans get lucky.

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Michael Rynn
Michael Rynn

Written by Michael Rynn

Once was educated and worked in Medical Practice, then did software engineering. Now retired. Still doing music, reading and writing, and website tinkering

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